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Apr 3, 2015

NFL Average Mock Draft Position

With rosters reshaped after the main wave of free agency, teams have a greater sense of their weaknesses and how to improve them in the draft. TSN.ca's Average Mock Draft Position Tracker shows you the 31 prospects with first round Mock ADPs, and their most likely landing spot, according to all the latest expert mock drafts.

Marcus Mariota

 

Version 2 - mock drafts compiled immediately after free agency. Version 3 to come ahead of NFL Draft.

 

Jameis Winston
Jameis Winston

Quarterback, Florida State (Redshirt Sophomore)

  • Average Draft Position
    1.0
  • Highest Draft Position
    1 (TB)
  • Most Likely Destination
    1 (TB)
100% of mock drafts have Winston being selected first overall by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Nothing has changed all off-season, Winston appears to be a lock to go first overall.
Leonard Williams
Leonard Williams

Defensive Lineman, USC (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    2.6
  • Highest Draft Position
    2 (TEN)
  • Most Likely Destination
    2 (TEN)
86% of mock drafts have Williams being selected second overall by the Tennessee Titans. Williams' ADP actually rose from 2.2 to 2.6 despite more mock drafts slotting him in second overall.
Dante Fowler Jr.
Dante Fowler Jr.

Defensive End, Florida (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    3.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    3 (JAX)
  • Most Likely Destination
    3 (JAX)
71% of mock drafts have Fowler Jr. being selected third overall by the Jacksonville Jaguars. The pass rusher keeps it a uniform Top 3 in the second edition of the Mock Draft ADP.
Kevin White
Kevin White

Wide Receiver, West Virginia (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    5.6
  • Highest Draft Position
    4 (OAK)
  • Most Likely Destination
    4 (OAK)
57% of mock drafts have White being selected fourth overall by the Oakland Raiders. The momentum at WR seems to be shifting back to Amari Cooper a bit, but White's Mock Draft ADP remains the highest at the position.
Randy Gregory
Randy Gregory

Defensive End, Nebraska (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    7.1
  • Highest Draft Position
    2 (TEN)
  • Most Likely Destination
    5 (WAS)

36% of mock drafts have Gregory being selected fifth overall by the Washington Redskins. Gregory's Mock Draft ADP remained the same from Version 1.0, but could fall - and perhaps drastically - in future versions after his admission he failed a drug test at the Combine.

Amari Cooper
Amari Cooper

Wide Receiver, Alabama (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    7.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    4 (OAK)
  • Most Likely Destination
    4 (OAK), 10 (STL)
Cooper's Most Likely Destination is a tie between fourth overall to the Oakland Raiders, and 10th overall to the St. Louis Rams (36% each). Cooper and White appear to be in a battle to be taken fourth overall, with the loser at risk of falling out of the Top 10.
Vic Beasley
Vic Beasley

Outside Linebacker, Clemson (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    7.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    3 (JAX)
  • Most Likely Destination
    5 (WAS)
36% of mock drafts have Beasley being selected fifth overall by the Washington Redskins. Beasley is still behind Gregory in Mock Draft ADP but the two share a Most Likely Destination, each at 36%, in the Redskins.
Marcus Mariota
Marcus Mariota

Quarterback, Oregon (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    8.1
  • Highest Draft Position
    2 (TEN)
  • Most Likely Destination
    6 (NYJ)
36% of mock drafts have Mariota selected sixth overall by the New York Jets. Mock drafters apparently aren't buying rumours that Mariota is going second overall regardless of the team picking there, dropping his Mock Draft ADP two and a half position from Version 1.
Shane Ray
Shane Ray

Defensive End, Missouri (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    9.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    5 (WAS)
  • Most Likely Destination
    13 (NO)
36% of mock drafts have Ray being selected 13th overall by the New Orleans Saints. Ray is the last of the top tier pass rushers; with a bit of a dropoff after him, he could sneak into the Top 10. 
Danny Shelton
Danny Shelton

Defensive Tackle, Washington (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    10.4
  • Highest Draft Position
    5 (WAS)
  • Most Likely Destination
    7 (CHI)
43% of mock drafts have Shelton being selected seventh overall by the Chicago Bears. The Shelton watch begins at seventh overall, but it could be a short one with the Bears also Shelton's Most Likely Destination.
Brandon Scherff
Brandon Scherff

Offensive Tackle, Iowa (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    10.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    3 (JAX)
  • Most Likely Destination
    9 (NYG)
29% of mock drafts have Scherff being selected ninth overall by the New York Giants. Scherff's Mock Draft ADP remains the highest among offensive linemen, and while it's improved since Version 1, is still outside the Top 10.
DeVante Parker
DeVante Parker

Wide Receiver, Louisville (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    13.2
  • Highest Draft Position
    11 (MIN)
  • Most Likely Destination
    11 (MIN), 14 (MIA)
Parker's Most Likely Destination is a tie between 11th overall to the Minnesota Vikings and 14th overall to the Miami Dolphins (36% each). Parker appears to be a tier below the top WRs in White and Cooper. If those guys both go in the Top 10, Parker could be selected just outside. But if one of them falls, Parker could be picked in the teens.
Trae Waynes
Trae Waynes

Cornerback, Michigan State (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    13.6
  • Highest Draft Position
    7 (CHI)
  • Most Likely Destination
    14 (MIA)
29% of mock drafts have Waynes being selected fuorteenth overall by the Miami Dolphins. Waynes' Mock Draft ADP dropped a position, but he's still the consensus top cornerback in the draft. A CB may not be taken until the middle of the first round however.
Todd Gurley
Todd Gurley

Running Back, Georgia (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    16.6
  • Highest Draft Position
    6 (NYJ)
  • Most Likely Destination
    17 (SD)
36% of mock drafts have Gurley being selected 17th overall by the San Diego Chargers. Remember when RBs weren't getting drafted in the first round. Gurley had the biggest jump in Mock Draft ADP from Version 1 to 2, jumping 12 positions. While it'd still be considered a surprise if Gurley found his way into the Top 10 like some mock drafters are predicting, Gurley going in the middle of Round 1 wouldn't classify as a shock at all.
La'el Collins
La'el Collins

Offensive Tackle, LSU (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    17.5
  • Highest Draft Position
    10 (STL)
  • Most Likely Destination
    10 (STL)
29% of mock drafts have Collins being selected 10th overall by the St. Louis Rams. A combination of Collins' Mock Draft ADP rising a position, and Andrus Peat's falling has Collins now the second-ranked offensive lineman. Collins has a good chance of landing in the top half of Round 1.
Bud Dupree
Bud Dupree

Outside Linebacker, Kentucky (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    17.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    8 (ATL)
  • Most Likely Destination
    22 (PIT)
36% of mock drafts have Dupree being selected 22nd overall by the Pittsburgh Steelers. Dupree's in the second tier of pass rushers which means his ceiling is likely mid-round.If any of the top rushers slides, Dupree could be pushed into the 20s.
Landon Collins
Landon Collins

Safety, Alabama (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    19.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    9 (NYG)
  • Most Likely Destination
    20 (PHI)
21% of mock drafts have Collins being selected 20th overall by the Philadelphia Eagles. Collins is the top safety and will likely battle a couple of cornerbacks to be the second defensive back taken in the draft behind Waynes.
Andrus Peat
Andrus Peat

Offensive Tackle, Stanford (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    19.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    9 (NYG)
  • Most Likely Destination
    9 (NYG), 21 (CIN)
Peat's Most Likely Destination is a tie between ninth overall to the New York Giants and 21st overall to the Cincinnati Bengals (29% each). Peat started the draft process as the second best offensive lineman behind Scherff, but has since fallen to third with momentum taking him further. Peat could eventually be in a battle to stay in the Top 5 at his position.
Arik Armstead
Arik Armstead

Defensive Tackle, Oregon (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    21.7
  • Highest Draft Position
    7 (CHI)
  • Most Likely Destination
    15 (SF)
21% of mock drafts have Armstead selected 15th overall by the San Francisco 49ers. Armstead remains in a battle with Malcom Brown and Eddie Goldman to sneak into the Top 20, a battle Armstead appears to be leading at this point.
Malcom Brown
Malcom Brown

Defensive Tackle, Texas (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    22.2
  • Highest Draft Position
    9 (NYG)
  • Most Likely Destination
    19 (CLE), 27 (DAL)
Brown's Most Likely Destination is a tie between 19th overall to the Cleveland Browns and 27th overall to the Dallas Cowboys (21% each). Brown's Mock Draft ADP slipped a little and as a result Armstead passed him, but the reality is the two are neck and neck one month ahead of the draft.
Melvin Gordon
Melvin Gordon

Running Back, Wisconsin (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    22.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    17 (SD)
  • Most Likely Destination
    17 (SD)
43% of mock drafts have Gordon being selected 17th overall by the San Diego Chargers. Like Gurley, Gordon's stock has continued to rise throughout the pre-draft process. And like Gurley, he shares a Most Likely Destination in the Chargers. Gordon going 17th overall could depend on if Gurley is off the board by then or not.
Ereck Flowers
Ereck Flowers

Offensive Tackle, Miami (FL) (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    23.1
  • Highest Draft Position
    10 (STL)
  • Most Likely Destination
    3 Teams Tied
Flowers' Most Likely Destination is a tie between 19th overall to the Cleveland Browns, 23rd overall to the Detroit Lions, and 28th overall to the Denver Broncos (14% each). After Scherff and probably Collins the offensive tackle market is hard to figure out. Flowers could be anywhere from third to sixth among tackles taken.
Marcus Peters
Marcus Peters

Cornerback, Washington (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    23.9
  • Highest Draft Position
    14 (MIA)
  • Most Likely Destination
    14 (MIA), 22 (PIT)
Peters' Most Likely Destination is a tie between 14th overall to the Miami Dolphins and 22nd overall to the Pittsburgh Steelers (21% each). Peters' Mock Draft ADP rose nearly three positions but he still has a ways to go to catch Waynes as the first cornerback taken.
Jalen Collins
Jalen Collins

Cornerback, LSU (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    24.6
  • Highest Draft Position
    16 (HOU)
  • Most Likely Destination
    20 (PHI)
29% of mock drafts have Collins being selected 20th overall by the Philadelphia Eagles. Collins is in a battle with Peters to be the second cornerback taken, a battle he's currently trailing.
Dorial Green-Beckham
Dorial Green-Beckham

Wide Receiver, Missouri (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    25.0
  • Highest Draft Position
    15 (SF)
  • Most Likely Destination
    18 (KC)
21% of mock drafts have Green-Beckham being selected 18th overall by the Kansas City Chiefs. Green-Beckham's character concerns are holding him back from potentially being the third receiver off the board. But if he can convince teams he's maturing, he could find himself landing somewhere in the teens.
D.J. Humphries
D.J. Humphries

Offensive Tackle, Florida (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    26.4
  • Highest Draft Position
    18 (KC)
  • Most Likely Destination
    25 (CAR)
36% of mock drafts have Humphries being selected 25th overall by the Carolina Panthers. Humphries is one of four offensive tackles vying for a first round selection but there may be only 12 picks for all of them to fit in.
Eddie Goldman
Eddie Goldman

Defensive Tackle, Florida State (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    26.6
  • Highest Draft Position
    15 (SF)
  • Most Likely Destination
    30 (GB)
29% of mock drafts have Goldman being selected 30th overall by the Green Bay Packers. Goldman was one of the biggest fallers from Version 1 to 2, dropping five positions and is no longer a lock to be picked in the first round.
T.J. Clemmings
T.J. Clemmings

Offensive Tackle, Pittsburgh (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    26.6
  • Highest Draft Position
    18 (KC)
  • Most Likely Destination
    28 (DEN)
21% of mock drafts have Clemmings being selected 28th overall by the Denver Broncos. Clemmings is the last of six offensive tackles with a current Mock Draft ADP in the first round.
Jaelen Strong
Jaelen Strong

Wide Receiver, Arizona State (Junior)

  • Average Draft Position
    26.7
  • Highest Draft Position
    12 (CLE)
  • Most Likely Destination
    26 (BAL)
29% of mock drafts have Strong being selected 26th overall by the Baltimore Ravens. Just behind the offensive linemen, Strong makes it five receivers with a Mock Draft ADP in the first round. But Strong's position is trending down and he could be replaced before long by Breshad Perriman.
Cameron Erving
Kevin Johnson

Cornerback, Wake Forest (Senior)

  • Average Draft Position
    27.8
  • Highest Draft Position
    16 (HOU)
  • Most Likely Destination
    30 (GB)
21% of mock drafts have Johnson being selected 30th overall by the Green Bay Packers. Johnson is the lone newcomer to the list, hoping to sneak into the first round as the fourth cornerback.
Jordan Phillips
Jordan Phillips

Defensive Tackle, Oklahoma (Sophomore)

  • Average Draft Position
    29.7
  • Highest Draft Position
    19 (CLE)
  • Most Likely Destination
    Three teams tied
Flowers' Most Likely Destination is a tie between 23rd overall to the Detroit Lions, 29th overall to the Indianapolis Colts, and 32nd overall to the New England Patriots (14% each). Phillips is a popular name late in first round mock drafts.
Falling out: Florida State C Cameron Erving