NHL

Cullen: Comparing Pre-and-Post All-Star Scoring

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Scott Cullen
1/31/2011 12:11:55 PM
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As the NHL season heads into its unofficial second half following the All-Star break, it's worth checking out which players have performed better after the break throughout their careers.

There are several reasons that a player might be more productive late in the year and a look at the list of those who have put up more points per game after the break reveals a few opportunities.

Tom Gilbert and Sam Gagner have been productive for the Edmonton Oilers in games that have tended not to mean a whole lot down the stretch for a team out of the playoff picture and it appears that the Oilers will be playing more of those games this season. That doesn't mean just take any players from bad teams, but young players that are getting late-season opportunities are always worth consideration.

Thus, Senators, Maple Leafs, Islanders, Devils and Oilers may have some intrigue -- if there are young players set to see an increase in ice time for a team out of the playoff picture.

Throwing out some names that might fit (and aren't already included in the chart below): Nick Foligno, Tyler Bozak, Josh Bailey, Mattias Tedenby and any of the Oilers rookies (Taylor Hall, Jordan Eberle, Magnus Paajarvi, Linus Omark...maybe even Jeff Petry) are some guys that should get quality opportunities down the stretch for teams looking ahead to next season.

On the other hand, some players have a tendency to fade as the season goes on, which might provide reason to exercise caution when it comes to acquiring any of these players.

Keep in mind that this season's pre-All-Star numbers are included, so a player like Keith Yandle, who is enjoying a breakout season, may not necessarily see his production tail off as dramatically as the chart would suggest. But, for any player who is producing at a level unlike what he has achieved in the past, it's generally reasonable to expect production to slide towards previously established levels.

These lists require players to have played in at least 50 games before and after the All-Star game, which leaves last year's strong finishing rookies -- John Tavares (20 points in 20 games), Erik Karlsson (14 points in 19 games) and Tyler Bozak (16 points in 21 games) among them -- out of the chart.

But, again, if looking for value, finding players in similar situations to the situations in which those rookies were in 2009-2010 could be the move that gives your team a late-season push in the right direction.

Pre-and-Post-All-Star-Game - Best PPG Differential

Player Team Pos Pre Pts Pre GP Pre PPG Post Pts Post GP Post PPG Diff.
Tom Gilbert EDM D 68 210 0.32 62 97 0.64 0.32
Sam Gagner EDM C 102 197 0.52 58 75 0.77 0.26
Anton Babchuk CGY D 55 168 0.33 28 51 0.55 0.22
Paul Stastny COL C 215 236 0.91 92 86 1.07 0.16
Mike Green WAS D 154 248 0.62 88 113 0.78 0.16
Tuomo Ruutu CAR LW 153 289 0.53 95 139 0.68 0.15
Jochen Hecht BUF LW 270 509 0.53 162 237 0.68 0.15
Scott Gomez MTL C 416 556 0.75 247 276 0.89 0.15
Pavel Datsyuk DET C 404 430 0.94 227 209 1.09 0.15
Johan Franzen DET RW 113 230 0.49 87 137 0.64 0.14
Nikolai Kulemin TOR LW 68 147 0.46 32 53 0.60 0.14
Chris Higgins FLA LW 110 254 0.43 75 131 0.57 0.14
Kyle Okposo NYI RW 56 100 0.56 41 59 0.69 0.13
T.J. Oshie STL RW 59 98 0.60 39 53 0.74 0.13
Teemu Selanne ANA RW 763 755 1.01 542 474 1.14 0.13
Ryan Kesler VAN C 180 330 0.55 82 122 0.67 0.13
Milan Michalek OTT LW 169 289 0.58 99 140 0.71 0.12
Ryan Malone TB LW 185 328 0.56 109 159 0.69 0.12
Michael Frolik FLA RW 78 152 0.51 36 57 0.63 0.12
Paul Martin PIT D 105 291 0.36 75 159 0.47 0.11
Steve Sullivan NAS LW 399 546 0.73 281 334 0.84 0.11
Jason Pominville BUF RW 209 279 0.75 125 147 0.85 0.10
Patrik Elias NJ LW 476 584 0.82 315 344 0.92 0.10
Brad Richards DAL C 468 521 0.90 228 229 1.00 0.10
Scottie Upshall PHX RW 109 233 0.47 54 96 0.56 0.09
Chris Kunitz PIT LW 174 288 0.60 101 145 0.70 0.09
Chris Drury NYR C 379 575 0.66 235 314 0.75 0.09
Michael Ryder BOS RW 213 361 0.59 108 159 0.68 0.09
Carlo Colaiacovo STL D 61 168 0.36 49 109 0.45 0.09
Sidney Crosby PIT C 404 296 1.36 168 116 1.45 0.08
Nicklas Backstrom WAS C 211 211 1.00 93 86 1.08 0.08
Jason Spezza OTT C 299 309 0.97 196 187 1.05 0.08
Michael Cammalleri MTL LW 258 341 0.76 110 132 0.83 0.08
Jason Arnott NJ C 532 709 0.75 363 439 0.83 0.08
Erik Johnson STL D 62 143 0.43 27 53 0.51 0.08
Ruslan Fedotenko NYR LW 213 498 0.43 114 227 0.50 0.07
Danny Briere PHI C 349 451 0.77 222 262 0.85 0.07
Sean Avery NYR LW 150 358 0.42 90 183 0.49 0.07
Dan Hamhuis VAN D 111 354 0.31 66 171 0.39 0.07
Thomas Vanek BUF LW 239 304 0.79 115 134 0.86 0.07
Henrik Zetterberg DET LW 351 378 0.93 177 177 1.00 0.07
Ryan Callahan NYR RW 74 168 0.44 45 88 0.51 0.07
Antoine Vermette CBJ C 177 344 0.51 95 163 0.58 0.07
Milan Hejduk COL RW 477 582 0.82 266 300 0.89 0.07
Brooks Laich WAS LW 139 299 0.46 77 145 0.53 0.07
Alex Tanguay CGY LW 446 552 0.81 208 238 0.87 0.07
David Booth FLA LW 87 162 0.54 65 108 0.60 0.06
Jay Bouwmeester CGY D 162 415 0.39 86 189 0.46 0.06
J.P. Dumont NAS RW 332 528 0.63 189 273 0.69 0.06
Matt Cooke PIT LW 182 519 0.35 111 268 0.41 0.06

Pre and Post-All-Star Game - Worst PPG Differential

Player Team Pos Pre Pts Pre GP Pre PPG Post Pts Post GP Post PPG Diff.
Keith Yandle PHX D 101 176 0.57 28 76 0.37 -0.21
James Neal DAL LW 101 147 0.69 28 58 0.48 -0.20
Steve Downie TB RW 68 125 0.54 17 50 0.34 -0.20
Mason Raymond VAN LW 96 174 0.55 24 68 0.35 -0.20
Dustin Byfuglien ATL D 110 199 0.55 40 113 0.35 -0.20
Troy Brouwer CHI RW 76 150 0.51 19 59 0.32 -0.18
Martin Hanzal PHX C 98 203 0.48 21 68 0.31 -0.17
Phil Kessel TOR RW 154 223 0.69 61 118 0.52 -0.17
Corey Perry ANA RW 240 293 0.82 82 127 0.65 -0.17
Mark Giordano CGY D 77 190 0.41 13 56 0.23 -0.17
Chris Stewart COL RW 80 107 0.75 30 52 0.58 -0.17
Kris Versteeg TOR LW 104 159 0.65 28 57 0.49 -0.16
Justin Williams LA RW 304 442 0.69 84 160 0.53 -0.16
Mikael Samuelsson VAN RW 224 419 0.53 64 170 0.38 -0.16
Mikko Koivu MIN C 212 273 0.78 86 138 0.62 -0.15
Marc Savard BOS C 479 516 0.93 227 291 0.78 -0.15
Tobias Enstrom ATL D 123 210 0.59 38 86 0.44 -0.14
Clarke MacArthur TOR LW 96 177 0.54 32 80 0.40 -0.14
Jack Johnson LA D 68 165 0.41 23 85 0.27 -0.14
Lubomir Visnovsky ANA D 308 490 0.63 90 183 0.49 -0.14
Blake Wheeler BOS RW 83 157 0.53 22 56 0.39 -0.14
Patrick Kane CHI RW 191 195 0.98 76 90 0.84 -0.14
Joffrey Lupul ANA LW 171 281 0.61 66 138 0.48 -0.13
Alexander Semin WAS RW 218 226 0.96 117 140 0.84 -0.13
Marek Zidlicky MIN D 205 336 0.61 75 155 0.48 -0.13
Shea Weber NAS D 133 231 0.58 63 139 0.45 -0.12
Bryan Little ATL C 97 177 0.55 32 75 0.43 -0.12
Jarret Stoll LA C 217 348 0.62 68 135 0.50 -0.12
Drew Doughty LA D 86 150 0.57 26 57 0.46 -0.12
Claude Giroux PHI RW 85 117 0.73 36 59 0.61 -0.12
Dennis Wideman FLA D 137 284 0.48 53 143 0.37 -0.11
Scott Hartnell PHI LW 284 499 0.57 108 230 0.47 -0.10
Ryane Clowe SJ LW 141 205 0.69 50 85 0.59 -0.10
Loui Eriksson DAL RW 162 226 0.72 71 115 0.62 -0.10
Patrick Sharp CHI C 207 317 0.65 84 151 0.56 -0.10
Tomas Kaberle TOR D 372 602 0.62 140 267 0.52 -0.09
Martin St. Louis TB LW 523 564 0.93 216 259 0.83 -0.09
Zdeno Chara BOS D 270 581 0.46 119 316 0.38 -0.09
Guillaume Latendresse MIN LW 92 199 0.46 36 96 0.38 -0.09
Dustin Penner EDM LW 167 271 0.62 64 121 0.53 -0.09
Kimmo Timonen PHI D 312 563 0.55 140 299 0.47 -0.09
Dan Boyle SJ D 283 444 0.64 158 286 0.55 -0.08
Duncan Keith CHI D 160 306 0.52 65 148 0.44 -0.08
Chris Pronger PHI D 452 718 0.63 230 421 0.55 -0.08
Travis Zajac NJ C 162 252 0.64 69 123 0.56 -0.08
Dan Girardi NYR D 72 211 0.34 31 119 0.26 -0.08
David Krejci BOS C 123 170 0.72 62 96 0.65 -0.08
Kris Letang PIT D 87 184 0.47 33 83 0.40 -0.08
Devin Setoguchi SJ RW 95 162 0.59 38 74 0.51 -0.07
Wayne Simmonds LA RW 61 151 0.40 19 57 0.33 -0.07

Scott Cullen can be reached at Scott.Cullen@ctv.ca and followed on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tsnscottcullen.  For more, check out TSN Fantasy Sports on Facebook.

Sam Gagner (Photo: Dale MacMillan/Getty Images)

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(Photo: Dale MacMillan/Getty Images)
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