Columnist image
Scott Cullen

TSN.ca Analytics

|Archive

Turris leads the Senators, Johnny Hockey takes rookie scoring lead, a Blue Jackets rookie is producing, the Maple Leafs’ fading top line, lineup news, Fantasy tips and more in Scott Cullen’s Statistically Speaking.

HEROES

Kyle Turris – Led the way in Ottawa’s 6-4 win over Boston with two goals and an assist, giving him 19 points (9 G, 10 A) in the past 19 games, while driving play in the right direction (53.1 SAT%) in that span.

Johnny Hockey – Flames rookie LW Johnny Gaudreau continues his late-season push for the rookie scoring lead, overtaking Nashville’s Filip Forsberg after scoring a goal and two assists in a 4-1 win against Philadelphia. Gaudreau has 12 points (5 G, 7 A) in the past nine games, and his 56 points (20 G, 36 A) puts him one ahead of Forsberg in the freshman scoring race.

 

ROOKIE SCORING LEADERS

 
PLAYER TEAM POS. GP G A PTS
Johnny Gaudreau  Calgary LW 70 20 36 56
Filip Forsberg  Nashville LW 72 21 34 55
Mark Stone  Ottawa RW  68 18 31 49
Mike Hoffman  Ottawa LW  67 24 18 42
Anders Lee  N.Y. Islanders LW  66 23 15 38
John Klingberg  Dallas  54 10 26 36
Aaron Ekblad  Florida D 70 11 24 35
Kevin Hayes N.Y. Rangers  C 66 13 19 32
Evgeny Kuznetsov Washington C 70 9 21 30
Victor Rask Carolina C 68 10 17 27
Jonathan Drouin  Tampa Bay LW 60 2 25 27
 

Marko Dano – Columbus’ rookie winger scored two goals and an assist in a 6-2 win at Vancouver and has seven points (3 G, 4 A) in the past five games, as he’s seen his ice time increase to better than 15 minutes per game, skating on a line with fellow rookie Alexander Wennberg and veteran Scott Hartnell.

ZEROES

Toronto’s top line – Despite starting the majority of their shifts against San Jose in the offensive zone, the trio of James van Riemsdyk, Tyler Bozak and Phil Kessel was on for around 35% of even-strength shot attempts and, in the cases of Kessel and van Riemsdyk, three even-strength goals against (Bozak only on for two!) in a 4-1 loss to San Jose.

Since the Leafs replaced Randy Carlyle with Peter Horachek, they have had mediocre puck possession numbers (ranging between 45% and 48% of score-adjusted shot attempts, higher overall because they have trailed a lot of the time), but clearly improved over the first half of the season. The problem, however, is that increased shot share and shot attempts has not resulted in remotely comparable point production. 

Up to January 4:

 

UNDER RANDY CARLYLE

 
PLAYER GP G A PTS SAT% REL. SAT% SAT/60
Tyler Bozak  40 13 17 30 41.8% -4.0% 51.7
Phil Kessel  40 18 23 41 42.2% -3.6% 53.8
James van Riemsdyk  40  17 20 37 41.2% -5.1% 51.6
 

Since January 7:

 

UNDER HORACHEK

 
PLAYER GP G A PTS SAT% REL. SAT% SAT/60
Tyler Bozak  32  6 5 11 50.2% +2.1% 58.8
Phil Kessel  32 6 7 13 50.4% +2.5% 58.1
James van Riemsdyk  32 7 5 12 48.4% -0.4% 56.5
 

Eddie Lack – Was pulled after allowing five goals in 30 shots in Vancouver’s 6-2 loss to Columbus. Lack has played well in Ryan Miller’s absence, posting a .926 save percentage in a dozen games, but he’s also allowed five goals in three of those 12 games.

Troy Brouwer – The Capitals power forward had a rough night, on for two shot attempts for and 16 against (11.1%) at even strength in a 3-2 win at Minnesota.

LINEUP NEED TO KNOW

Roberto Luongo – Returned to the Florida net for the first time since March 3, stopping 26 of 27 shots in a 3-1 win over Detroit.

Darren Helm – Returned to the Detroit lineup after missing seven games with an oblique injury.

Michael Del Zotto – Played a team-high 22:28 in his return to the Philadelphia lineup, a 4-1 loss at Calgary. 

Mathew Dumba – Played a career-high 21:36 and tied for the Wild lead with eight shot attempts (4 SOG) against Washington. 

Chris Tierney – The Sharks rookie centre had an assist and played a season-high 19:06 in a 4-1 win at Toronto.

Andrew MacWilliams – The Maple Leafs rookie defenceman saw 22:16 of ice time against San Jose, easily his most action in the fifth NHL game of his career.

Reilly Smith – Was benched after a terrible turnover led to Ottawa’s shorthanded goal, giving the Senators a 4-3 lead, and played a team-low 7:50. 

SHORT SHIFTS

Bruins rookie RW David Pastrnak had a pair of assists in a 6-4 loss at Ottawa; giving him 11 points (4 G, 7 A) in the past 11 games…Bruins rookie C Ryan Spooner buried a pair of goals at Ottawa, and has 10 points (5 G, 5 A) in the past 11 games…Senators RW Erik Condra chipped in a couple of assists; in the past 17 games, Condra has 12 points (4 G, 8 A)…Senators LW Milan Michalek had a goal and two assists vs. Boston, and has nine points (2 G, 7 A) in the past nine games…Senators RW Mark Stone recorded three assists against Boston; he leads all rookies in scoring since mid-February, putting up 16 points (5 G, 11 A) in the past 15 games…Sharks C Joe Thornton picked up a pair of assists in a 4-1 win at Toronto, and has 10 points (2 G, 8 A) in the past eight games…Capitals LW Alex Ovechkin scored two more goals, with a dozen shot attempts (6 SOG) in a 3-2 win at Minnesota. He leads the league with 47 goals on the season and has 21 points (14 G, 7 A) in his past 16 games…Flames RW Jiri Hudler put up a couple of assists in a 4-1 win against Philadelphia; he has 14 points (6 G, 8 A) in the past nine games…Flames D Kris Russell also had a pair of assists, and has 10 points (2 G, 8 A) in the past eight games…Blue Jackets C Alexander Wennberg had a goal and an assist in a 6-2 win at Vancouver, giving him five points (1 G, 4 A) in the past four games…Avalanche LW Gabriel Landeskog had a goal and an assist in a 5-2 win at Arizona; he has 18 points (10 G, 8 A) in the past 16 games…Avalanche C Ryan O’Reilly also had a goal and an assist, and has 12 points (2 G, 10 A) in the past 12 games…Penguins D Kris Letang scored a goal and had 14 shot attempts (6 SOG) in a 2-1 loss at Dallas…Coyotes C Mark Arcobello had team-best possession stats (22 shot attempts for, 5 against, 81.5%) in a 5-2 loss to Colorado...Sharks G Antti Niemi stopped 27 of 28 shots in a 4-1 win at Toronto…Blues G Brian Elliott stopped 33 of 34 shots in a 2-1 shootout loss at Winnipeg…Jets G Ondrej Pavelec turned aside 32 of 33 shots in the win; he has stopped 104 of 109 shots (.954 SV%) in his past four games…Stars G Kari Lehtonen had 31 saves on 32 shots in a 2-1 win over Pittsburgh…Flames G Karri Ramo stopped 26 of 27 shots in a 4-1 win over Philadelphia…Blue Jackets G Sergei Bobrovsky had 38 saves on 40 shots in a 6-2 win at Vancouver.

FIRSTS

Freddie Hamilton – The Avalanche winger, acquired in a trade with San Jose, scored his first career goal in his 18th career game, during a 5-2 win at Arizona.

FANTASY FOCUS

Only three games tonight, so here are three players to consider for your lineup:

Johan Larsson – Being a top line player in Buffalo has limited appeal, but Larsson is making the most of his opportunity, putting up six points (3 G, 3 A) in the past five games, averaging 19:34 of ice time per game in those five games.

Teemu Pulkkinen – Detroit’s rookie triggerman has three goals and an assist in the past five games and is getting first-unit power play time.

Alex Tanguay – The Avs veteran has six points (3 G, 3 A) in the past six games and is on Colorado’s first power play unit.

Much of the data included comes from www.war-on-ice.comwww.puckalytics.com, and www.naturalstattrick.com

Scott Cullen can be reached at scott.cullen@bellmedia.ca