Remember when I wrote that every so often the information we have at our disposal so overwhelmingly points to one potential outcome that it becomes impossible to ignore it?

Well, that wasn’t the case at all for last week’s NASCAR Cup Series race.

Kevin Harvick was the consensus favourite to win the Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway.

Martin Truex Jr., who had won two of the last three Cup Series races at Kentucky, was also among the drivers with the shortest odds to win.

So when Harvick and Truex were out front for the final restart with three laps to go, it seemed more than likely that one of those two drivers would take the checkered flag.

Then, the unimaginable happened.