Meaningful baseball in September has arrived. At the start of the 2025 season, all Toronto Blue Jays fans could hope for was the games in September to have some sort of meaning. And boy do they ever. Join me all month as I track the Blue Jays odds to win the AL East with the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox looking to make a September push.
The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees sit atop the American League East, tied with the best record in the American League, with three games to play.
Toronto’s current price is down from -7000 (98.59 per cent) nine games ago, when they led the division by five games with 12 to play.
However, the team’s odds to win the AL East have improved after a win Thursday night over the Boston Red Sox.
AL East Standings
| Team | Record | Current Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 91-68 | -164 | 62.12 % |
| Yankees | 91-68 | +134 | 42.74 % |
Blue Jays’ AL East magic number moves to three
Toronto’s Magic Number to clinch the AL East is now three with three games remaining.
That magic number means any combination of Blue Jays wins and Yankees losses over the remaining three games that equals three would clinch the division for Toronto.
If the Blue Jays win the final three games of the season, Toronto will clinch the division regardless of what the Yankees do.
Here are the three scenarios that would see New York win the division.
| Blue Jays | Yankees | AL East Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 3-0 | New York |
| 1-2 | 2-1 | New York |
| 0-3 | 1-2 | New York |
