Week 4 of the NFL Season has arrived and for the first time this year we have two guys on the same prop.
Let’s waste no time and get right to the action.
Domenic Padula: Darren Waller Over 26.5 Receiving Yards
Connor Ford: TreVeyon Henderson Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
When will the Patriots realize that TreVeyon Henderson is their best skill position player with AJ Brown sidelined? I’m hoping this is the week. It’s no secret that Drake Maye and the Pats offence have struggled mightily to start this season. If they don’t show signs of life in Buffalo this week, it might officially be panic time.
Luckily for Henderson, the Bills have allowed the third most receiving yards to RBs this season. He only has one catch in two games, but he ran 12 routes compared to 18 for Rhamondre Stevenson last week, so the pass game opportunities are starting to even out. Henderson has always profiled as a plus in the passing game – it’s only a matter of time.
Additionally, the Patriots will likely be trailing in the second half, potentially opening the door for a pass heavy game script. Even if this isn’t the case, it would do Drake Maye well to be more conservative with his decisions, as nothing good has come from his downfield throws this year. I’ll lock in Henderson over 7.5 receiving yards as my best bet for Week 4.
Drew Morrison: Darren Waller O26.5 Receiving Yards
The uber-talented, often injured, tantalizing tight end signed with the Panthers late in training camp. Not surprisingly, the 34-year-old has taken a little time to ramp up. His usage and production have increased every week, going from a 33 percent snap share in week 1 to almost 50 percent last week when he ran 28 routes and caught five balls for 51 yards against the Browns. This week the veteran faces a Lions defence that’s allowed over 350 yards and 6 touchdowns to tight ends through three weeks. Juwan Johnson had over 50 yards and touchdown in week 1. Dalton Kincaid had 95 yards and a touchdown in week 2. And rookie first round pick shattered his previous career-high with 105 yards and a touchdown against the Lions in week 3. ‘The Baller’ could have a big day.
Luke Bellus: Darren Waller O26.5 Receiving Yards
“Take your time to heal.
Just take your time out of here.
The nights we opened up and we knew how much, that you and I were real.
How long I gotta climb up this hill? I’m tired and I wanna be still (be still).
Imagine if we fell out of tune ‘cause f***’, who knew that love could kill?"
Those were the lyrics from Waller’s 2024 Smash hit Who Knew (Her Perspective).
Okay fine, it wasn’t a smash hit but my friend Peter Ash tells me it’s his favourite song.
After a long week away from the office for me, I’ll be taking Waller’s advice and taking today off from a best bet of my own and am piggybacking Drew and Dom.
Life moves fast, blink and suddenly you’re back at your Aunt’s house for the first time in 15 years. Blink again you’ll be betting on a guy who was making breakup songs two years ago to catch passes on a Sunday in the NFL.
2026, things are weird.
See you next week.
