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Conn Smythe update: Can Marner win if the Hurricanes lift the Stanley Cup?

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Vegas Golden Knights right wing Mitch Marner, top, celebrates his goal with center Tomas Hertl during the second period in Game 3 of the NHL hockey Stanley Cup Final series against the Carolina Hurricanes, Saturday, June 6, 2026, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Candice Ward) (Candice Ward)

The Stanley Cup Final is tied 2-2 after four games and Vegas Golden Knight forward Mitch Marner is a -115 favourite to win the Conn Smythe.

Marner is the only player priced shorter than +250 in the Conn Smythe market with the next five players being Carolina Hurricanes.

PlayerOdds
Mitchell Marner-115
Logan Stankoven+280
Taylor Hall+390
Jordan Staal+850
Jackson Blake+4500
Nikolaj Ehlers+10000

Brett Howden (175-1) is the only Golden Knight priced in the market shorter than 500-1.

With Marner as a favourite to win the award, two new markets at FanDuel have appeared.

Mitch Marner Conn Smythe Specials

PropOdds
Mitch Marner to win Conn Smythe-115
The Field to win Conn Smythe -111
Mitch Marner to win Conn Smythe and Hurricanes to Win Stanley Cup+1300

FanDuel has priced Marner at 13-1 to win the Conn Smythe in a losing effort. It’s something that has only happened six times in league history, with the most recent coming in 2024 when Connor McDavid did it.

YearPlayerTeam
1966Roger CrozierDetroit Red Wings
1968Glenn HallSt. Louis Blues
1976Reggie LeachPhiladelphia Flyers
1987Ron HextallPhiladelphia Flyers
2003Jean-Sébastien GiguèreAnaheim Mighty Ducks
2024Connor McDavidEdmonton Oilers

With 29 points these playoffs, Marner enters Game 5 nine points clear of Jack Eichel for the most in the postseason and 11 more than anyone on Carolina. His eight points also lead all skaters in the Stanley Cup Final.