We’re just 15 days away from the start of the 2024 NFL regular season, folks.
Two weeks from tomorrow, we’ll be watching the two-time defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs begin their title defence against the Baltimore Ravens in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship.
The Chiefs are sitting at -3 at FanDuel for the opener.
It won’t be long now before we get our first official sweat of the 2024 NFL season.
In the meantime, we’ve already got the CFL and MLB going strong, the PGA Tour playoffs are underway, and the return of NCAA football is about to wreak even more havoc on my sleep schedule.
Then again, I’m already struggling to get enough rest during this prime time for NFL betting and fantasy football prep, with the number of pending fantasy league drafts over the next two weeks in the double digits.
While there’s always a lot to be excited about when it comes to looking ahead to the regular season at this time of the year, there’s one specific NFL storyline that I keep coming back to as we continue to countdown to Week 1.
The 2024 NFL season will feature the most stacked class of Offensive Rookie of the Year candidates that I can remember.
Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams was this year’s first-overall pick and an obvious favourite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at FanDuel.
While there’s no doubt in my mind that Williams deserves to be the top choice in the OROY market, there are a handful of first-year players that have the potential to go on to rank among the best in the NFL at their positions sooner rather than later.
This is the Morning Coffee for Wednesday August 21st, 2024.
Stacked NFL Rookie Class Poised To Make An Immediate Impact
The conversation going into the 2024 NFL Draft was focused on the elite offensive talent that would go on to be selected in the first round.
The first 14 picks included six quarterbacks, three wide receivers, one tight end and four offensive linemen.
Rookie first overall pick QB Caleb Williams is set to make his #NFL pre-season debut in Buffalo! 🐻
— TSN EDGE (@TSN_Edge) August 10, 2024
Williams is the favourite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year at @FanDuelCanada at +140. 🏈
🎥 @ChicagoBears | #DaBears
pic.twitter.com/DsExbpdfw9
A defensive player wasn’t selected until the Indianapolis Colts took defensive end Laiatu Latu at 15th overall.
Joe Alt, J.C. Latham, Olu Fashanu, and Taliese Fuaga will all contribute immediately and have the potential to be the anchors of the offensive lines for their respective teams.
They just won’t be in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year conversation.
The other 10 players that went in the top-14 picks will be.
Let’s start with the quarterbacks.
these 2 goal-to-go plays from Caleb Williams
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) August 17, 2024
INSANE
the value of a mobile QB is unparalleled
this rookie is ridiculously special 🤩 pic.twitter.com/HDG3jk0Bvn
Williams steps into an ideal situation for a rookie quarterback, surrounding by one of the better sets of skill-position players in the NFC.
D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, and rookie Rome Odunze is an above-average wide receiver trio.
Williams will also get to play with veteran tight end Cole Kmet and veteran running back D’Andre Swift.
Some thoughts on Caleb Williams from spending last week with the @ChicagoBears
— Scott Pioli (@scottpioli51) August 20, 2024
It's about the details...#GMFB #DaBears @CALEBcsw @gmfb @nflnetwork pic.twitter.com/mFuBfOSPR3
With a unique blend of arm talent and the ability to make highlight-reel plays with his legs, Williams steps into an ideal situation with the potential to put up big numbers in his rookie season.
FanDuel set his over/under at 3500.5 passing yards.
Williams to throw for 4000+ yards is +270.
In an absolutely stacked offensive rookie class, Williams is considered the consensus best pure talent at the game’s most important position.
nobody will remember:
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) August 19, 2024
- your salary
- how “busy you were”
- how many hours you worked
people will remember:
- Caleb Williams to Rome Odunze in the third preseason game of 2024 pic.twitter.com/tA7hh2hS3T
With a supporting cast and defence that is ready to win now, Williams to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at +120 is considered an obvious pick here.
Williams isn’t the only rookie QB that will start Week 1.
The Washington Commanders officially named Jayden Daniels their starter earlier this week.
time to update your lock screen 📲 https://t.co/0gT8sTe3MU pic.twitter.com/FgPWUrWayG
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) August 21, 2024
Meanwhile, Denver Broncos QB Bo Nix and New England Patriots QB Drake Maye have both made strong impressions this pre-season.
Neither team has committed to their Week 1 starter.
Daniels is currently the second choice to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at +600.
“Jayden Daniels, at the very least, is an offense unto himself.”
— Mina Kimes (@minakimes) August 20, 2024
On this week’s pod, @BenjaminSolak and I discussed what we’ve seen out of the rookie QB thus far, as well as Commanders OC Kliff Kingsbury….
🎧: https://t.co/lOszPjfOsP
📺: https://t.co/ZrWM4Xafx1 pic.twitter.com/f88bxFx3qE
Nix is down to +1300 as the fourth choice to win the award.
Maye is now seventh on the list at +3000.
While I believe the hype around Williams as the obvious favourite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, I will concede that Daniels has the skill set and the help around him to be a potential value play at +600.
I don’t feel the same way about either Nix or Maye.
Meanwhile, this year’s wide receiver class is absolutely stacked with Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, and Xavier Worthy all among the top-six choices to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.
.@MarvHarrisonJr has entered the chat 😮💨 pic.twitter.com/8eNp5tQ3Wh
— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) August 15, 2024
Nabers might very well be the most dynamic of that trio, but he’s also in the worst position of the three as the focal point of the New York Giants offence.
The Giants lost Saquon Barkley and don’t have another alpha skill position player to take attention away from Nabers.
Malik Nabers preseason breakdown:
— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) August 20, 2024
31.6% - Target share when on the field
43.7% - Air yardage share when on the field
13.3 - Average depth of target
(Data per @TruMediaSports)
Nabers has been used as the pre-snap motion man five times and targeted on two of those five routes.… pic.twitter.com/mA8nr57Q7Q
I believe that could leave Nabers vulnerable at times as Daniel Jones leans heavily on him as a rookie.
Harrison becomes the No. 1 option for an Arizona Cardinals’ offence that features Kyler Murray at quarterback.
Harrison has the shortest odds of the top wide receiver trio at +650 to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Nabers is +1500 as the fifth choice in that market.
Worthy is right behind him as the sixth choice at +1900.
I’m not sleeping on Worthy at all as a deep threat in a Patrick Mahomes offence this season.
WENTZ FINDS WORTHY FOR 6‼️ pic.twitter.com/bFmoVUBNIz
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) August 17, 2024
Worthy has already made a couple of big plays this pre-season and with Hollywood Brown already dealing with an injury, Worthy could get off to a hot start.
Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey is a little further down the list at +3500 to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Buffalo Bills wide receiver Keon Coleman is +3700.
Then there’s the top tight end in this year’s rookie class – Brock Bowers of the Las Vegas Raiders.
14 snaps for Aidan O'Connell & #Raiders starters Saturday. Were in 2-TE set on 9 of those snaps.
— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) August 12, 2024
Brock Bowers played 11 of those snaps. Lined up 5 in-line, 3 backfield, 2 wide, 1 slot via PFF. Michael Mayer got 12 snaps.
Bowers going to have a lot on his plate right away. pic.twitter.com/Gdbv2TbLr1
Former NFL tight end and current commentator Greg Olsen has already said, “he might be the best college tight end that I’ve ever really seen.”
While Bowers likely won’t win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year as a +4000 longshot, there’s no doubt that his skill set will translate to him making an immediate impact this season, with the Raiders using him in a variety of different ways beyond his traditional tight end role.
With the potential for as many as four potential rookie starting QBs in Week 1, a deep cast of rookie wide receivers set to see significant snaps right away, four potential anchor offensive linemen, and a tight end that has been called one of the best-ever at the college level, this year’s offensive rookie class is absolutely stacked.
I can’t wait to see what kind of an impact every one of them has in their first year this season.

