Pick and Roll: Revisiting WNBA Title odds ahead of 2025 season

The WNBA Season tips off on Friday as we gear up for what is expected to be another trilling summer of women’s basketball.

Last year, the New York Liberty won the franchise’s WNBA Championship, and we had a rookie class take the league by storm as Catlin Clark and Angel Reese brought attention and eyeballs to the league on the heels of their impressive college careers.

It was also a successful season here at TSN Betting as myself and Brianne Spiker kept you up to date on all the important news and trends in this column, and Spiker was one Lynx game away from sweeping the postseason with her predictions.

Spiker and I are back for Year 2 of Pick and Roll and we figured their is no better place to start than with a quick overview of where things stand as we get set to start the regular season on Friday.

When we last met, Spiker and I gave you our way-too-early picks to win 2025 MVP just one day after the Liberty won the 2024 championship.

Today we’ll take a look at how the off-season changed the championship title odds and give you two teams we like to make a run at it this year.

The season is rapidly approaching, so let’s get to the breakdown.

The most notable odds movement comes with the Connecticut Sun, a team that opened with the fourth-best odds to win the title at +650 and now sit tied for the worst at 500-1.

The Sun will look different this year after making six straight trips to the WNBA semifinals.

All five of the team’s starting players from 2024 have moved onto new teams this year, and an additional five players have left via free agency, trade, or the expansion draft.

The most notable move Connecticut made in the winter involved a four-team deal, which led to DiJonai Carrington and Tyasha Harris being traded to the Dallas Wings and Alyssa Thomas being dealt to the Phoenix Mercury.

The Sun are +1200 to make the playoffs, something the team has done every season since 2017.

The Indiana Fever also landed a key player from the Sun, DeWanna Bonner, as the team bolstered the roster for year two of the Catilin Clark experience.

The Fever’s odds to win the title improved from +1300 to +390 following their busy off-season.

Here is one contender and one longshot that Brianne is eyeing as we enter the 2025 season.

Contender: Minnisota Lynx +360 

The Lynx narrowly missed out on taking home their fifth title in franchise history in 2024 as they lost in five games to the New York Liberty in the WNBA Finals.

Led by reigning WNBA Defensive Player of the Year Napheesa Collier, Minnesota returns all the key players that led them to the Finals including Bridget Carleton, Courtney Williams, Alanna Smith and Kayla McBride.

Collier, a leading candidate to win this year’s MVP award, was dominant for the Lynx last year at both ends of the floor, averaging 20.4 points, 9.7 rebounds and 3.4 assists.

Much like how it took a little heartbreak before the Las Vegas Aces broke through for back-to-back titles in 2022 and 2023, the Lynx were on the precipice of finishing the job last year. This time, this core is a little wiser and understands what it takes to get through a long playoff run.

In my mind, they get it done this year.

Longshot: Seattle Storm +2800

The Seattle Storm have the sixth-worst odds to win the 2025 WNBA Championship but it feels too low for a team that finished fifth in the regular season last year.

The Storm lost a big piece in the offseason as Jewell Loyd requested a trade and Seattle obliged, sending her to the Aces in a blockbuster deal with the Sparks as Loyd went to Las Vegas, Kelsey Plum to Los Angeles and centre Li Yueru and the No. 2 pick in the draft (Dominique Malonga) came to Seattle.

On the flip side, the Storm will get a full season from forward Gabby Williams for the first time since 2022. Due to her commitments in Europe, Williams has only played 10 and 12 games respectively the last two years with Seattle. In 12 games last year, she averaged 10.3 points, four rebounds and 3.7 assists.

The veteran duo of Nneka Ogwumike and Skylar Diggins were brought in last year as the team transitioned to a new era and they both delivered in their first seasons with Seattle. Ogwumike averaged 16.7 points and 7.6 rebounds while Diggins averaged 15.1 points and 6.4 assists.

The Storm may not have a superstar at the forefront like some of the other contenders, but their experience and depth has the opportunity to take them far.