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Florida (Panthers) Factor prominent in TSN's latest Top 50 UFAs list

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Brad Marchand and Sam Bennett

The Florida (Panthers) Factor is – in the moment - eclipsing all others on the pending free agent market.

Would you expect anything less from the Sunshine State?

Conn Smythe candidate Sam Bennett, who leads the NHL playoffs with 14 goals, remains No. 2 behind Toronto right winger Mitch Marner on the latest TSN Top 50 Free Agent list less than three weeks from July 1.

Fellow Conn Smythe candidate Brad Marchand has moved up eight spots from No. 11 to No. 3.

The veteran left winger and Bennett are just the second set of teammates in NHL history to score goals in each of the first three games of a Cup final.

Marchand, 37, is the oldest player to accomplish the feat.

Among Marchand’s 18 points are two overtime goals – a series-changing moment versus Toronto in Game 3 of the first round and what may turn out to be a series-changing moment versus Edmonton in Game 2 of the final round.

To say nothing of the first goal he scored in the first minute of Game 3, igniting a 6-1 rout.

Meanwhile, Panthers’ right defenceman Aaron Ekblad is TSN’s top-ranked rearguard at No. 5, one slot behind Winnipeg left winger Nik Ehlers.

Ekblad, Florida’s first-overall pick in 2014, has four goals and 12 points in 16 playoff games. He plays all the tough minutes and caught Connor McDavid with a seldom-seen open-ice hit on the game’s best player in Game 3.

One game earlier, McDavid went, in Ekblad’s own words, full “McJesus” on him with a “walk-on-water” toe drag on the way to setting up Leon Draisaitl for a goal of the year candidate.

Now, whether any of these three Cats get to free agency is a story for another day.

Bennett seems awfully comfortable in Sunrise, and although his price tag is rising by the game, the cap is also rising - from $88 million this season to $95.5 million, $104 million and $113.5 million over the next three seasons.

As for Ekblad, he says, "I live and breathe for the Florida Panthers. I bleed for the Florida Panthers. I've given my body and everything to this team. I want to keep doing it forever, for as long as they'll let me keep coming to the rink."

Marchand has been a Panther only since his March 7 trade from Boston, but he has fit in, well, like a rat.

He is, however, the least attached to Florida and you can be sure teams are looking at the 16-year NHLer with an outstanding playoff resume as a potential “missing piece” player.

Marchand embodies championship timbre – winning one Stanley Cup and six of six tournaments as a member of Team Canada, including the 4 Nations Face-Off in February.

Bennett’s expiring deal carries a $4.4-million AAV, Marchand’s, a $6.1-million cap hit and Ekblad’s, a $7.5-million AAV.

Bennett, of course, has been the story of the playoffs, earning points in 15 of 20 games and exerting his will in and around the goal crease and beyond. He is, at once, occupying the blue ice – creating all manner of distress for opposition goalies – and turning on the red light with equal amounts dash and bash.

His 97 hits are second-most in the playoffs; he’s averaging nearly five per game.

His 42 penalty minutes are tied for second-most; behind only Marchand’s 48.

His 14 goals in 20 games are four more than anyone else this playoff year and one more than No. 1 pending free agent Marner has in 70 career playoff games.

A necessary reminder: complicating the assessment of Bennett’s value is that his 0.83 point-per-game scoring rate over the past three postseasons (59 games), compares to a 0.63 scoring rate over the past three regular seasons (208 games).

It will almost certainly take less money for GM of the Year finalist Bill Zito to sign Bennett than most NHL rivals because of Florida’s inviting climate, the franchise’s fabulous success and systemic benefits.

Zito has the luxury of offering an eight-year deal to Bennett (and Ekblad) – as he did with Sam Reinhart last year – while the remaining 31 teams can only offer seven-year deals.

Plus, the Panthers are one of six NHL teams with a built-in edge – however small or large – at the bargaining table: Florida does not levy state income tax, meaning players get more take home pay from comparable contracts to those offered by teams in states and provinces that do collect income tax.

Florida, Tampa Bay, Dallas, Seattle, Vegas and Nashville are all located in states that don’t levy income tax.

Those six teams absorb lower cap hits (or annual average values), than the rest of the league’s teams, to provide players equal after-tax money.

As an example, the tax calculator from Puckpedia.com and Cardinal Point shows that a $7-million U.S. AAV contract from Florida yields approximately the same take-home pay ($4.45 million) as a $9.5 million AAV contract from hometown team Toronto.

This is a broad strokes comparison – there are other financial elements at play – but it is a financial reality.

Despite this, the NHL and NHLPA have both said they don’t view this as a significant competitive advantage for teams in tax-free  environments.

TSN's Top 50 UFAs

No.PlayerAgePosGPGPTS
1Mitch Marner (Tor)28RW8127102
2Sam Bennett (Fla)29C762551
3Brad Marchand (Fla)37LW712351
4Nikolaj Ehlers (Wpg)29LW692463
5Aaron Ekblad (Fla)29RD56333
6Vladislav Gavrikov (LA)29LD82530
7Ivan Provorov (CBJ)28LD82733
8John Tavares (Tor)34C753874
9Matt Duchene (Dal)34C823082
10Brock Boeser (Van)28RW752550
       
11Jake Allen (NJ)34G312.59.908
12Mikael Granlund (Dal)33C/LW832266
13Patrick Kane (Det)36RW722159
14Dmitry Orlov (Car)33LD76628
15Pius Suter (Van)29C812546
16Dante Fabbro (CBJ)27RD68926
17Ryan Donato (Chi)29C/LW803162
18Ryan Lindgren (Col)27LD72422
19Jonathan Toews (UFA)37C---
20Jonathan Drouin (Col)30LW431137
       
21Claude Giroux (Ott)37C811550
22Jack Roslovic (Car)28C/RW812239
23John Klingberg (Edm)32RD1114
24Connor Brown (Edm)31RW821330
25Jamie Benn (Dal)35LW801649
26Dan Vladar (Cgy)27G302.80.898
27Cody Ceci (Dal)31RD85424
28Victor Olofsson (VGK)29LW561529
29Henri Jokiharju (Bos)26RD60310
30Andrei Kuzmenko (LA)31RW661137
       
31Trent Frederic (Edm)27C/LW58815
32Nick Perbix (TB)27RD74619
33Brian Dumoulin (NJ)33LD80322
34Reilly Smith (VGK)34RW791340
35Nate Schmidt (Fla)33LD80519
36Andrew Mangiapane (Was)29LW811428
37Mason Appleton (Wpg)29C/RW711022
38Anthony Beauvillier (Was)28LW811525
39Adam Gaudette (Ott)28RW811926
40Corey Perry (Edm)40RW811930
       
41Brent Burns (Car)40RD82629
42Alex Lyon (Det)32G302.81.896
43Evgenii Dadonov (Dal)36RW802040
44Gustav Nyquist (Min)35LW791128
45Brandon Saad (VGK)32LW721330
46Matt Grzelcyk (Pit)31LD82140
47Taylor Raddysh (Was)27RW80727
48Brandon Tanev (Wpg)33LW791022
49Nick Bjugstad (Uta)32C66819
50Joel Armia (Mtl)32RW811129