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Mar 15, 2021

Hurricanes No. 1, Oilers surge in NHL Power Rankings

The Carolina Hurricanes have won eight straight games and were a perfect 3-0-0 last week, while the Edmonton Oilers have one of the best expected goal differentials in the NHL, ranking third behind only Colorado and Toronto.

Connor McDavid

By Sportlogiq Staff (@Sportlogiq)

The Carolina Hurricanes have won eight straight games and were a perfect 3-0-0 last week. As a result, they sit atop our Power Rankings for the first time this season.

Carolina ranks in the top five in expected goal differential and actual goal differential and is receiving top-notch goaltending from Alex Nedeljkovic and James Reimer.

The Hurricanes' power play has been outstanding during their eight-game win streak, converting on 12 of 26 opportunities. The ‘Canes now have the best power play in the NHL at 31.8 per cent. Pair that with a top-10 penalty kill, and you have one of the most well-rounded teams in the NHL to this point of the season.

Speaking of winning streaks, the New York Islanders have won nine straight games and move from fourth to third in our rankings. The Isles had a 4-0-0 week with wins over Buffalo, Boston, and a pair against New Jersey.

Despite losing captain Anders Lee to injury mid-week, and playing without J.G. Pageau and Noah Dobson on Sunday, New York continued its winning ways. The competition gets stiffer for the Isles this week, as they face the Capitals followed by a pair of games against the Flyers.

The Colorado Avalanche remain in sixth spot in our rankings despite sitting 10th in points percentage. Our statistical model considers the Avalanche a top team in the NHL and one to watch in the coming weeks.

Colorado has the best expected goal differential in the NHL despite ranking seventh in actual goal differential. The Avs rank 15th in goals per game and 13th in power play percentage. Defensively, Colorado sits fourth in goals-against average and second in penalty kill percentage. Based on the quality and quantity of Avalanche shots, we expect this team to start scoring more and when they do, coupled with their excellent defensive play, we see this team as one to be feared.

The Minnesota Wild continue to move up our Power Rankings going from 14th to 10th to seventh. The Wild are coming off a 3-0-0 week which included a pair of wins over the division-leading Vegas Golden Knights.

The Wild are quickly becoming must-see TV thanks to rookie sensation Kirill Kaprizov. The 23-year-old Russian forward leads all rookies with 24 points in 26 games. Minnesota has long been a solid 5-on-5 team but was sunk by league-worst goaltending last season. It’s been a different story this season thanks to free-agent acquisition Cam Talbot and rookie Kaapo Kahkonen.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are facing some adversity for the first time this season. The Leafs have lost five of their past six games and drop from third to eighth in our rankings. Toronto is still an excellent team, ranking second in expected goal differential and fourth in goal differential. The recent skid is likely nothing more than a mid-season rut. Toronto will have some time to iron out the kinks as its next game comes Friday against Calgary.

Thanks to a 3-1-0 week, the Edmonton Oilers jump from 18th to ninth in our Power Rankings. Edmonton has one of the best expected goal differentials in the NHL, ranking third behind only Colorado and Toronto. However, the Oilers' actual goal differential sits 11th overall. Consistency will be the name of the game moving forward for the Oilers if they want to remain in our top 10.

Despite ranking eighth in points percentage, the Winnipeg Jets sit 12th in our Power Rankings. Winnipeg has the 10th best goal differential in the NHL but sits 18th in expected goal differential.

 

Carolina Hurricanes
1. Carolina Hurricanes

Last Week: No. 5 | 20-6-1

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.85 (3)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.60 (5)
  • Point %
    .759 (2)
Tampa Bay Lightning
2. Tampa Bay Lightning

Last Week: No. 2 | 19-5-2

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +1.46 (1)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.59 (6)
  • Point %
    .769 (1)
New York Islanders
3. New York Islanders

Last Week No. 4 | 19-6-4

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.72 (6)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.38 (8)
  • Point %
    .724 (5)
Vegas Golden Knights
4. Vegas Golden Knights

Last Week: No. 1 | 18-6-1

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +1.12 (2)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.45 (7)
  • Point %
    .740 (4)
Florida Panthers
5. Florida Panthers

Last Week: No. 7 | 18-5-4

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.59 (8)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.60 (4)
  • Point %
    .741 (3)
Colorado Avalanche
6. Colorado Avalanche

Last Week: No. 6 | 16-8-2

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.69 (7)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +1.29 (1)
  • Point %
    .654 (10)
Minnesota Wild
7. Minnesota Wild

Last Week: No. 10 | 17-8-1

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.73 (5)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.03 (10)
  • Point %
    .673 (7)
Toronto Maple Leafs
8. Toronto Maple Leafs

Last Week: No. 3 | 19-9-2

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.77 (4)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.90 (2)
  • Point %
    .667 (8)
Edmonton Oilers
9. Edmonton Oilers

Last Week: No. 18 | 18-12-0

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.43 (11)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.61 (3)
  • Point %
    .600 (13)
Pittsburgh Penguins
10. Pittsburgh Penguins

Last Week: No. 17 | 17-9-1

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.26 (14)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.15 (12)
  • Point %
    .648 (11)
Washington Capitals
11. Washington Capitals

Last Week: No. 13 | 17-6-4

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.26 (14)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.17 (19)
  • Point %
    .704 (6)

 

 

Winnipeg Jets
12. Winnipeg Jets

Last Week: No. 8 | 17-8-2

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.52 (10)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.16 (18)
  • Point %
    .667 (8)
Montreal Canadiens
13. Montreal Canadiens

Last Week: No. 9 | 12-8-7

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.56 (9)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.03 (16)
  • Point %
    .574 (16)
Boston Bruins
14. Boston Bruins

Last Week: No. 12 | 14-7-4

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.40 (12)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.12 (13)
  • Point %
    .640 (12)
Dallas Stars
15. Dallas Stars

Last Week: No. 16 | 9-9-6

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.29 (13)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.30 (11)
  • Point %
    .500 (21)
Calgary Flames
16. Calgary Flames

Last Week: No. 21 | 13-12-3

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -.21 (21)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.09 (14)
  • Point %
    .518 (19)
New York Rangers
17. New York Rangers

Last Week: No. 14 | 11-12-3

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.04 (17)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.35 (9)
  • Point %
    .481 (24)
Philadelphia Flyers
18. Philadelphia Flyers

Last Week: No. 11 | 13-9-3

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.04 (16)
  • xGoal Dif.
    +.05 (15)
  • Point %
    .580 (15)
St. Louis Blues
19. St. Louis Blues

Last Week: No. 15 | 14-9-5

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -.11 (20)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.02 (17)
  • Point %
    .589 (14)
Chicago Blackhawks
20. Chicago Blackhawks

Last Week: No. 19 | 14-10-5

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -.10 (19)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.19 (20)
  • Point %
    .569 (17)
Los Angeles Kings
21. Los Angeles Kings

Last Week: No. 20 | 11-10-6

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.04 (18)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.47 (24)
  • Point %
    .519 (18)
San Jose Sharks
22. San Jose Sharks

Last Week: No. 29 | 11-11-3

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -.68 (25)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.50 (26)
  • Point %
    .500 (21)
Vancouver Canucks
23. Vancouver Canucks

Last Week: No. 26 | 13-16-2

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -.52 (22)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.92 (31)
  • Point %
    .452 (25)
Columbus Blue Jackets
24. Columbus Blue Jackets

Last Week: No. 28 | 11-12-7

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -.57 (24)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.72 (30)
  • Point %
    .483 (23)
Arizona Coyotes
25. Arizona Coyotes

Last Week: No. 22 | 12-12-4

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -.54 (23)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.68 (29)
  • Point %
    .500 (21)
New Jersey Devils
26. New Jersey Devils

Last Week: No. 25 | 8-13-4

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    +.68 (25)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.26 (21)
  • Point %
    .400 (27)
Anaheim Ducks
27. Anaheim Ducks

Last Week: No. 24 | 8-15-6

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -1.07 (27)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.27 (22)
  • Point %
    .379 (28)
Nashville Predators
28. Nashville Predators

Last Week: No. 23 | 11-16-0

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -1.11 (28)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.28 (23)
  • Point %
    .411 (26)
Detroit Red Wings
29. Detroit Red Wings

Last Week: No. 30 | 8-17-4

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -1.14 (29)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.68 (28)
  • Point %
    .345 (29)
Ottawa Senators logo
30. Ottawa Senators

Last Week: No. 27 | 10-20-1

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -1.39 (31)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.50 (25)
  • Point %
    .339 (30)
Buffalo Sabres
31. Buffalo Sabres

Last Week: No. 31 | 6-16-4

  • Avg. Goal Dif.
    -1.15 (30)
  • xGoal Dif.
    -.66 (27)
  • Point %
    .308 (31)