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Apr 9, 2020

Red Wings, Habs win big in TSN Hockey's simulated lottery

The Red Wings and Canadiens are the big winners and the Senators the big losers in the TSN Simulated Draft Lottery on Tankathon.com.

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The Detroit Red Wings and Montreal Canadiens are the big winners and the Ottawa Senators the big losers in the TSN Simulated Draft Lottery on Tankathon.com.

First seed Detroit won the lottery and Montreal moved up from eighth to second, while Ottawa, which held the second and third seeds, were relegated to picking fourth and fifth overall when TSN activated the simulated lottery.

The good news for Senators’ fans is that if they don’t like that result, they can just do it again (and again) on Tankathon.com until they get a result they like.

TSN used the simulated lottery function to determine a top 15 draft order for current non-playoff teams.

The actual draft lottery was scheduled for today, Thursday, April 9, but it was postponed in the wake of the NHL putting the season on pause. So, in lieu of the NHL pressing its ping pong ball machine into action, TSN pressed the lottery button on Tankathon.com.

New Jersey’s lucky lottery streak continued on Tankathon, moving from sixth to third. It won the actual lotteries outright in the 2017 and 2019 official lotteries, subsequently choosing Nico Hischier and Jack Hughes, respectively.

The TSN simulated top five is Detroit, Montreal, New Jersey, Ottawa and Ottawa again with San Jose’s pick, courtesy of the Erik Karlsson trade.

TSN Director of Scouting Craig Button made selections for each team in the simulated top 15.

Button has Detroit doing the expected, selecting consensus No. 1 prospect Alexis Lafreniere. The Rimouski left winger was the 2020 World Junior Championship MVP and is expected to be the first player since Sidney Crosby to repeat as CHL Player of the Year.

“I’m a leader,” Lafreniere said on a conference call Wednesday, announcing him as NHL Central Scouting’s No. 1  rated North American skating prospect. “I always want to win when the game is on the line. I can make a difference and that is a strong asset that I have.”

The Canadiens can only hope they are as lucky in the real lottery as the simulated one because it would give them the chance to fill a decades-long hole in the lineup: a big scoring centre. Button has Montreal taking Sudbury’s Quinton Byfield, saying:  “How would the next Evgeni Malkin look in a Montreal Canadiens’ sweater?”

“That’s just an honour to be compared to that guy,” Byfield said on the conference call. “He’s soon to be a Hall of Famer, so I definitely watch as much Pittsburgh games as possible just to see what he does.”

With the third-overall selection, Button chose Erie right defenceman Jamie Drysdale for New Jersey. Button says the consensus top-ranked blueliner could be this generation’s Scott Niedermeyer, who, coincidentally, was chosen third overall by New Jersey in 1991.

In the simulated lottery, the Senators had a combined 25 per cent chance of getting the No. 1 pick – compared to 18.5 per cent for Detroit – with their own choice (13.5 per cent) and San Jose's (11.5 per cent).

Button selected Mannheim centre/left wing Tim Stutzle, Central Scouting’s top-rated European skater, and Ottawa 67’s centre Marco Rossi on behalf of the Senators. Stutzle, a natural centre, earned Rookie-of-the-Year honours in the DEL playing left wing.

“Ottawa selected future captain Brady Tkachuk at No. 4 in 2018,” Button said. “Stutzle’s Patrick Kane-like silky-smooth skills would be the perfect complement to Tkachuk’s sandpaper game.”

Button added that Ottawa may have the weakest centre ice position in the league – so getting Rossi to go along with Stutzle would go a long way to solving a major problem.

Winnipeg, the only other Canadian team currently in a lottery position, entered and exited the simulated lottery in exactly the same position: 12th overall. Button projected the Jets taking USA U-18 left defenceman Jake Sanderson at that slot.

Sanderson finished the season as Central Scouting’s No. 4-ranked North American skater, behind only Lafreniere, Byfield and Drysdale.

Here are all 15 of Button’s mock draft selections.

 

The Top 15

Detroit Red Wings
1. Alexis Lafreniere

Left Wing | Rimouski (QMJHL) | 6'1 | 192 lbs. | Oct. 11, 2001

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    52
  • G
    35
  • PTS
    112
  • +/-
    41
Montreal Canadiens
2. Quinton Byfield

Centre | Sudbury (OHL) | 6'4 1/4 | 215 lbs. | Aug. 19, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    45
  • G
    32
  • PTS
    82
  • +/-
    26
New Jersey Devils
3. Jamie Drysdale

Defence | Erie (OHL) | 5'11 | 172 lbs. | Apr. 8, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    49
  • G
    9
  • PTS
    47
  • +/-
    9
Ottawa Senators
4. Tim Stutzle

Left Wing/Centre | Mannheim (DEL) | 6'1 | 187 lbs. | Jan. 15, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    41
  • G
    7
  • PTS
    34
  • +/-
    4
Ottawa Senators
5. Marco Rossi

Centre | Ottawa (OHL) | 5'8 1/4 | 170 lbs. | Sept. 21, 2001

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    56
  • G
    39
  • PTS
    120
  • +/-
    69
Los Angeles Kings
6. Cole Perfetti

Centre/Left Wing | Saginaw (OHL) | 5'10 1/4 | 177 lbs. | Jan. 1, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    61
  • G
    37
  • PTS
    111
  • +/-
    49
Anaheim Ducks
7. Lucas Raymond

Right Wing | Frolunda (SHL) | 5'11 | 170 lbs. | Mar. 28, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    33
  • G
    4
  • PTS
    10
  • +/-
    6
Buffalo Sabres
8. Alexander Holtz

Left Wing | Djurgardens (SHL) | 5'11 1/2 | 192 lbs. | Jan. 23, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    35
  • G
    9
  • PTS
    16
  • +/-
    -1
Chicago Blackhawks
9. Jack Quinn

Right Wing | Ottawa (OHL) | 6'0 | 179 lbs. | Sept. 19, 2001

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    38
  • G
    52
  • PTS
    89
  • +/-
    48
New Jersey Devils
10. Dawson Mercer

Centre/Right Wing | Chicoutimi (QMJHL) | 6'1 | 181 lbs. | Oct. 27, 2001

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    42
  • G
    24
  • PTS
    60
  • +/-
    5
Minnesota Wild
11. Yaroslav Askarov

Goaltender | St. Petersburg (VHL) | 6'3 | 176 lbs. | Jun. 16, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    18
  • GAA
    2.45
  • SV%
    .920
  • SO
    1
Winnipeg Jets
12. Jake Sanderson

Defence | USA NTDP (USHL) | 6'0 3/4 | 170 lbs. | Jul. 2, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    47
  • G
    7
  • PTS
    29
  • +/-
    13
New York Rangers
13. Anton Lundell

Centre | HIFK (SM Liiga) | 6'1 | 185 lbs. | Oct. 3, 2001

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    44
  • G
    10
  • PTS
    28
  • +/-
    11
Florida Panthers
14. Kaiden Guhle

Defence | Prince Albert (WHL) | 6'2 1/2 | 186 lbs. | Jan. 18, 2002

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    64
  • G
    11
  • PTS
    40
  • +/-
    23
Columbus Blue Jackets
15. Dylan Holloway

Centre/Left Wing | Wisconsin (NCAA) | 6'0 1/2 | 192 lbs. | Sept. 23, 2001

2019-20 Statistics

  • GP
    35
  • G
    8
  • PTS
    17
  • +/-
    -3